Bush said during the 2000 campaign that he would extend the ban on assault weapons which is set to expire soon. Now, the president says he maintains that position. And he feels confident in doing so because he's read the recent thinkness post on gun control and [Rove] knows this stance won't hurt him.
The reason is that Bush has already proven to be such a good ol' buddy of the gun lobby that they know he's not going to really become a long-term opponent. Bush has put a de facto end to the slippery slope argument that gun supporters might otherwise use against him -- they have no reason to believe he'll try to take away their guns, even if he supports this one bill. So by showing his hard-line stance on this issue in general, he can go soft in this particular.
The problem is that not every Republican in Congress already has such a cozy relationship with the NRA. If they vote for extending the ban, they might get tarred with the anti-gun label and would acquire a big enemy. That is part of the reason why congressional Republicans are not so eager to cross the NRA. In addition, most congressional Republicans don't have advisers as smart as Rove, who understands how to painlessly add compassionate window-dressings to hard-line conservatism.
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